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2011 Sugar Bowl: Ohio State vs Arkansas Odds

by Matt Foust on Tuesday, January 4th, 2011

No. 6 Ohio State will face No. 8 Arkansas in this evening's All State Sugar Bowl, which will take place at the Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Tonight's game, which will feature a stingy Buckeye defense trying to contain an explosive Razorback offense, is scheduled to kickoff 8:30pm ET on ESPN. 2011 Sugar Bowl Odds and the latest College Football Picks have Ohio State listed as a -3 against the spread favorite and the Over/Under set at 57.

Ohio State, which has posted a 105-22 2011 Sugar Bowl: Ohio State vs Arkansas Oddsrecord under Head Coach Jim Tressel, will make another BCS appearance this evening after finishing the season with an 11-1 record and sixth place ranking in the AP Top 25. BCS bowling has become old hat for the Buckeyes, which have played in one of the big five bowls, including the 2006 and 2007 BCS National Championship Games, seven times since 2002. 

Ohio State has fared well enough in those outings, garnering wins over Miami (2002 Fiesta Bowl – National Champion), Kansas State, Notre Dame, and Oregon; however, it has not done well against the SEC. The Buckeyes three losses in that run came against Florida (14-41 – 2006 National Championship), LSU (24-38 – 2007 National Championship), and Texas (21-24 – 2008 Fiesta Bowl).

In fact, dating back to 1992, Ohio State is 0-7 against SEC teams in postseason action. Terrelle Pryor and company, which finished the season on a five game win streak, will try to reverse that trend this evening. 

The Buckeyes offense, a unit that ranked 11th in the nation in points per game (39.4), has the tools to score on Arkansas' defense (22.8 points per game allowed), but Tressel will need a solid effort from his defense as well. The Buckeyes gave up just 13.3 points per game this season and only Miami and Wisconsin scored over 20 points against them.

Arkansas posted a 10-2 record in the regular season after closing things out on a 6-0 run. The Razorbacks, which finished second to No. 1 Auburn in the SEC West with a 6-2 conference record, outscored its final six opponents, a group that included South Carolina, Mississippi State, and LSU, by an average of 20.3 points per game.

Arkansas' offense averaged 37.3 points per game on the season as junior quarterback Ryan Mallett threw for 3592 yards and 30 touchdowns. Mallett's 170.53 passer rating ranked third in the country behind Cam Newton and Kellen Moore and his 66.5 completion percentage was 14th best among FBS signal callers.

The Razorbacks have won just two of their last six bowl games, but they are 1-0 in postseason play under Head Coach Bobby Petrino, who guided his team to a 20-17 win over East Carolina in last year's Liberty Bowl.

College Football Predictions Betting Trend: Ohio State is 10-0 straight up and 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 games as a favorite with a total of 54.5 or more.

2011 Sugar Bowl Ohio State vs Arkansas Odds:

Ohio State Buckeyes -3 (-110), Over 57 (-110)

Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (-110), Under 57 (-110)

2011 Super Bowl Predictions Early Look

by Matt Foust on Tuesday, January 4th, 2011

One of the more interesting NFL regular seasons in recent memory concluded on Sunday with the Seahawks beating the Rams to earn the NFC West title. Starting this Saturday, the games take on even greater importance as the Wild Card round of the NFL Playoffs gets underway with meetings between the Jets and Colts, Ravens and Chiefs, Saints and Seahawks, and Packers and Eagles. The latest NFL Playoff Picks 2011 are not favoring any of those teams to win Super Bowl XLV, though. 2011 Super Bowl Predictions Early Look have the New England Patriots, the top seed in the AFC, pegged as this year's favorite. Bill Belichick's squad is presently listed at +200 moneyline odds to win the Lombardi Trophy. Atlanta is the favorite in the NFC, coming in at +500 moneyline odds.

It is no surprise that the top two seeds in 2011 Super Bowl Predictions Early Lookthe respective conferences are the favorites to win the Super Bowl. NFL Odds typically make the one seeds the favorites, which begs the question: how often do the top seeds reach and/or win the championship?

Recent history would suggest that at least one of the favorites stands a great chance of making an appearance at Cowboys Stadium on February 6th, but victory is anything but a foregone conclusion.

Since the 2000-01 Playoffs a one seed has reached the Super Bowl every year with the exception of 2009 when the two seeded Steelers beat the fourth seeded Cardinals 27-23. In that same span of years a one seed has won the Lombardi just two times (New England 2004, New Orleans 2010).

Somewhat shockingly, the only time in the last 10 years that both of the top seeds reached the Super Bowl was last season when the Saints and Colts squared off in Miami. 

The last decade of championships would indicate the two seed is the spot to be as four teams in that slot have won the Lombardi. The Patriots won as the two seed in 2002 and 2005 while the Bucs did it in 2003 and the Steelers did it in 2009. In fact, each time a two seed reached the Super Bowl, it won the game. The three seed has made two appearances in the big game over the last 10 seasons, with Carolina falling short to New England in 2004 and Indy beating the top seeded Bears in 2007. The four seed owns two appearances (Baltimore 2001 winner, Arizona 2009 lost), the five seed one (New York Giants 2008 winner), and the six seed one (Pittsburgh 2006 winner).

2011 Super Bowl Predictions Early Look:

AFC Super Bowl Odds

New England Patriots +200
Pittsburgh Steelers +500
Baltimore Ravens +1200
Indianapolis Colts +1400
New York Jets +2000
Kansas City Chiefs +3500

NFC Super Bowl Odds

Atlanta Falcons +500
New Orleans Saints +1000
Philadelphia Eagles +1100
Chicago Bears +1200
Green Bay Packers +1200
Seattle Seahawks +10000

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