Still undecided on a Sunday winner…looking for a magic angle, a key mismatch, a mythical trend? Look no further because I have unearthed (okay, spotted), perhaps, the game’s most important match-up. So pay attention closely to take advantage of the latest Giants vs Patriots Spread, which has New England listed as a -3 against the spread favorite, and cash big on the 2012 Super Bowl.
This game has already been broken down, analyzed, critiqued to the nth degree, but with money on the line, one can never be too certain. With that in mind, let me state why it is I think the Giants will win this game or, at the very least, cover the three point spread. It comes down to a critical match-up between the Giants passing game and the Patriots leaky secondary.
New York’s offense ranked fifth in the league in pass yards per game with an average of 295.5 while New England’s pass defense ranked 31st, giving up an average of 293.9 yards per contest. The Patriots defense did play better down the stretch and it performed reasonably well in playoff wins over Denver and Baltimore, but the secondary is clearly behind the eight ball in Sunday’s meeting with New York.
The Giants feasted on weak pass defenses this year as they posted a 7-2 record against clubs that ranked 19th or worse in pass yards per game allowed. The only two teams to beat New York out of that illustrious group were the Saints and Packers. However, the Giants faced both of those squads at a time when their defense was struggling, an issue they are not dealing with at this juncture. In other words, it is doubtful the Patriots will be able to march the ball up and down the field against New York in the same fashion New Orleans and Green Bay did during the regular season.
Want even more assurance that the Giants are going to exploit New England’s secondary on Sunday? Here are Eli Manning’s numbers in the nine games New York played against the league’s worst pass defenses: 20 touchdowns, five interceptions, and a 105.9 passer rating.
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Giants vs Patriots Spread 2012 Super Bowl: Provided by Bovada.lv
New York Giants +3 (-115), Over 54 (-110), +115 (Moneyline)
New England Patriots -3 (-105), Under 54 (-110), -135 (Moneyline)