Florida State vs Bocton College 2011 College Football Picks Week 10: The Boston College Eagles (2-6, 1-4 ACC) will be looking for a little home magic when they host the Florida State Seminoles (5-3, 3-2 ACC) in a College Football matchup of ACC Atlantic Division teams tonight (8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN). The Eagles, who picked up their first conference win last week at Maryland will be looking to upset the Seminoles, a team they've had success against in recent years. Since losing three straight games to Oklahoma, Clemson and Wake Forest earlier this season, the Seminoles have regrouped to win three straight conference games against Duke, Maryland and NC State. The offshore betting line at sportsbook Bodog.eu lists the Seminoles 15 1/2-chalk College Football Odds favorites for the game with a posted combined score (over/under) of 46.
FSU was a 34-0 winner at home last Saturday against North Carolina State. With the 34 point win, the 'Noles easily covered the 18 1/2-chalk as favorites while the 34 points scored fell UNDER the posted total. The Eagles got its first win against an FBS team and its first conference victory by beating Maryland on the road 28-17. The Eagles covered ATS as 6 1/2-point underdogs with the SU win. The 45 combined points narrowly took the game UNDER the posted total of 48 points.
Bettors be aware that Boston College has been a nemesis to FSU over the past decade. Seminoles backers have been hammered at the betting window failing to cover four of their last five contests versus the Eagles. Over a 24 game span, BC has covered the spread in 16 at home while the combined point total has gone UNDER in five of the Eagle's last six games at home and fell UNDER in 13 of the last 14 games the Eagles have played.
The numbers indicate a huge difference in these two teams with the advantage going to the Seminoles. The only major offensive statistic the Eagles do better is in rushing, averaging 171.9 yards per game combared to 146.5 for the Seminoles. FSU is ranked 89th nationally in passing averaging 306.4 yards per game while the Eagles are 101 averaging 176.38 yards per game. The Seminoles are ranked 35th in total offense (432.75) while the Eagles are 104th.
FSU has been superior on the defensive side of the ball as well; No. 8 in total defense (275.6 per game average) compared to 88th for BC (421.75 per game average).
I look for BC to put up a good fight but not enough to win. FSU is finally back on the winning track. My Pick – FSU -15 1/2.
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