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MLB Picks: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

by Steve Hastings on Tuesday, July 1st, 2008

Two teams that are expected to be part of the National League East chase meet in Atlanta on Tuesday but neither is playing very well.  The Phillies are at least above .500 but they went 4-11 in Interleague play while the Braves are a mess all the way around as they fight injuries and poor play. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Braves at Home.

MLB Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies (44-39) at Atlanta Braves (40-43)
Tuesday, 7:00 pm Eastern

SBG Global Opening Line: Braves  – 114 ,  Total  9 Over -120 

The Phillies offense has deserted them of late as they have scored two or fewer runs in seven of the last 11 games. "We're not swinging the bat well," the Phillies Chase Utley said, "We had a few opportunities, but just not enough."  The Braves are not doing anything offensively either and will be without Chipper Jones on Tuesday.  He leads the league with a .394 average but has not started in almost two weeks. "I don't think Chipper is close to playing," Atlanta manager Bobby Cox said. "Injuries have hurt us," catcher Brian McCann said. "You take Chipper out of any lineup and it's going to be different. We need him to get healthy for this push."  The Braves have a 28-14 record at home this season but that could be changing with all of the injuries.  The Braves go with rookie Charlie Morton on Tuesday.  He is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA.  He will be opposed by Kyle Kendrick who is 7-3 with a 4.59 ERA.  Kendrick has faced the Braves twice this season allowing three runs in six innings and two runs in 5 1/3 innings.

SBG Global Current Line: Braves  – 110 ,  Total  9 Over -120 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Tuesday’s game. The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. the National League East. The Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 overall. The Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 5-0 in Kendrick’s last 5 starts as an underdog. The Phillies are 10-1 in Kendrick’s last 11 road starts. The Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. 

The Braves are 18-8 in their last 26 games as a home favorite. The Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. the National League East. 

The Under is 6-0 in the Phillies last 6 vs. the National League East. The Under is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 games as a road underdog. The Under is 5-1 in the Phillies last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 11-4 in the Phillies last 15 road games. The Over is 17-7 in Kendrick’s last 24 starts overall. 

The Under is 5-1 in the Braves last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Under is 6-2 in the Braves last 8 games as a home favorite. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the two teams and the Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta between the two teams.

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