That might be tough as the Marlins are below .500 on the road and the Phillies are above .500 at home. Also, the Phillies will have the pitching edge amongst the two starters.

The matchup will feature Ricky Nolasco for the Marlins versus Brett Myers for the Phillies.

Nolasco has progressively improved as the season has continued. His ERA was 5.79 in April, 3.97 in May, 3.31 in June, 3.69 in July and 2.72 in August.

The Marlins have won his last four starts as Nolasco has been stellar of late. In those starts, he’s pitched 29.1 innings, allowed just six runs (1.86 ERA) and his WHIP is 0.68. Part of his success has been the fact that he doesn’t walk too many batters. He’s walked only 38 batters in 184.2 innings pitched this year. He’s walked just four hitters in his last 56 innings pitched.

Nolasco is 2-1 against the Phillies in three starts this year with a 2.75 ERA. The Phillies are batting just .197 against him and have registered only 15 hits in 19.2 innings pitched.

As good as Nolasco has been, Myers has been significantly better.

Since spending some time in the minors, Myers has been lights out in the Majors. He was called up in late July and made his first start on July 23rd and since then, has allowed only eight earned runs in 63.2 innings pitched (1.14 ERA).

The difference has been that Myers has cut down on the walks and cut down on the home runs.

In his first 101.2 innings pitched this year, Myers gave up 24 home runs and walked 44 batters. In his last 63.2 innings of work, he’s given up just two home runs and 15 walks.

The Phillies should be able to win this contest and continue to cut into the Mets lead.

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