Louisville vs Kentucky 2012 Final Four Odds: It’s a known fact the Kentucky Wildcats men’s basketball team has the best talent in college basketball. For the most part, we could even refer to the Cats as the “one-and-done kids” because many of John Calipari’s recruits have no intention of playing beyond their freshman year, mandated by the NBA. That’s ok with Calipari too, as long as he continues to bring them in. We’re not saying Rick Pitino’s Louisville Cardinals aren’t talented. They are loaded to the teeth but not on the scale of Kentucky. Louisville and Kentucky will be the first to play when the 2012 Men’s Basketball Tournament Final-Four commences with tip time set for 4:05 p.m. ET at the New Orleans Superdome.
Odds makers opened the game betting line favoring Kentucky by 8 1/2-points with a combined score total (over/under) of 138. Cardinals’ backers wagering for a SU Louisville upset are getting +390 College Basketball Odds while the price of a SU money line bet on the Wildcats is -490 ($490 to win $100).
On the year including post season, Louisville has gone 30-9 SU and is riding an eight-game winning streak. Backers have had a good year betting on the Cardinals and their 22-13-1 record ATS. The Cardinals have matched their eight game SU streak by covering ATS the past eight. Totals bettors playing the UNDER have gone home happy in six of those eight game. The UNDER should have been the total wager of choice as it fell below the number in 11 of the Cardinals last 15 games.
Finding success betting the Wildcats has been a little challenging since odds makers often over-line their games. The Cats are looking for their fifth straight win ATS since losing to Vanderbilt in the SEC championship game. The Wildcats have gone 36-2 SU and have split their last 10 game ATS (5-and-5). Totals bettors have benefited by betting the over IN six of the Wildcats last 10 games.
Kentucky can be great when the players are all focused on the task at hand. In the regional semifinals against Baylor UK outpaced the Bears 82-70 and easily covered ATS as 8-chalk favorites. I made the mistake of playing the Bears thinking that Baylor might provide some match-up problems, especially on the inside. Wow, was I wrong. My pick – Kentucky covers the chalk -8 1/2.
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