Joel Casamayor vs Michael Katsidis Betting Line Moves
Saturday, 22 March 2008
The public likes to judge fighters on last performances which comes as know surprise that early money on Katsidis has moved the line on Katsidis from -150 to a -220 favorite at BodogLife.com. The public also loves brawlers like Katsidis often overlooking weaknesses defensively in fighters in favor of KO power.
Despite the fact Michael Katsidis barely got by a B- level fighter in Amonsot in his last fight, Katsidis was a heavy 4-1 favorite going into the bout. Casamayor got a gift as a 5-2 favorite in his last fight against an underrated fighter in Jose Santa Cruz. Casamayor however was coming off the longest period of inactivity after a 13 month layoff. Cruz is a tough Mexican that was basically a no-name and he heavy line was very rich for a predictably rusty Casamayor.
The OVER\UNDER is at 10.5 rounds at BodogLife.com with the OVER at -170. Michael Katsidis is a big puncher and a bleeder however and I see value in the +140 UNDER. Casamayor seems to be at the end of the road in a career that has spanned 400+ bouts and he might be ripe for a KO loss at the hands of Katsidis.
Last Updated ( Saturday, 22 March 2008 )
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