Oddsmakers are predicting the Seattle Seahawks will defeat the San Francisco 49ers and the Denver Broncos to defeat the New England Patriots in the Championship games. Denver was favored by -4 points while the host Seahawks were favored by -3 at most shops. Oddsmakers have a Seahawks vs Broncos Super Bowl matchup top of the list at 11/10 odds. The Seahawks have won six straight playoff home games, gone 8-2 ATS in its past 10 at home against San Francisco and 21-3 straight up in their past 24 games as favorites. Denver follows a trend where the home team has won and covered all three playoff meetings of these teams. The Broncos are also on an 8-3 ATS streak in 11 recent games, while the Patriots are down to a 2-7 ATS record in their past nine road games overall.
The Broncos vs Patriots game boils down to the fact that the Broncos don’t do anything particularly poorly, as they lack a single area where they graded in the negative. And the strength of the team, a multi-faceted offense capable of scoring in an innumerable number of ways, is hitting on all cylinders with everyone healthy. The Patriots big win over the Colts in the Divisional Round was aided by four Andrew Luck interceptions. Sure, Manning doesn’t have the best playoff history, but he’s never had so many options on offense. There isn’t a single play where he’ll have to force the ball.
For Seattle vs Niners game it’s clear that Colin Kaepernick’s regular-season-ending run of three straight 108+ quarterback ratings did him well entering the postseason. He hasn’t been as outstanding, but he has the confidence to make the right play at the right time, whether with his feet or arm.
It’s difficult to make the same case for Russell Wilson. The smallest quarterback left standing is impossible to pin down, and he rarely hurts his team. However, Wilson has only posted one solid performance in the last month and won’t be able to rely on Marshawn Lynch against the 49ers ferocious front seven.
The 49ers have all of their playmakers ready to rock (Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis and Anquan Boldin). The Seahawks will have Golden Tate, but Zach Miller and Doug Baldwin aren’t big plays waiting to happen. Furthermore, Percy Harvin is out. That just leaves the 12th man as Seattle’s only real advantage. That’s not worth three points against the best team left in the playoffs.
2014 Super Bowl XLVIII – Exact Matchup
Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos 11/10
Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots 13/4
San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos 11/4
San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots 6/1
The Bottom Line: Broncos vs Seahawks are what the oddsmakers have brewed up, but since when have they been right? Seattle is opened as a -1.5 point favorite against Denver in the 2014 Super Bowl. We recommend you signup with Bovada to receive a 10% signup bonus before the 2014 Super Bowl.