Everyone has had a full 10 days to deliberate on Super Bowl XLIX and its possible outcomes, which is more than long enough to form a reasonable opinion on a game as well as its numerous proposition bets. In light of the latest round of NFL odds liking the Patriots at -2 against the spread and the Under 48 at -115 odds, my 2015 Super Bowl Picks are going to go against the grain a little bit. Hopefully that pays off for all of us by Sunday’s end.
My 2015 Super Bowl Picks: NFL Playoff Odds Provided by Bovada.lv
Side – Seattle +2 (-115)
I have gone back and forth on the side, but have settled on the Seahawks at +2 points. While the Patriots are worthy of favored status and certainly capable of beating Seattle, there is a lot to like about the Seahawks, especially when they are getting points. That said, Pete Carroll’s crew will need to play better than it did against Carolina and Green Bay in order to foil New England, but I, obviously, expect them to do so.
Total – Over 48 Points (-105)
The potential exists for a high scoring game here, and I am forecasting that it does, indeed, turn into one. Only one of the Seahawks last nine games has exceeded 48 points but I think this one gets there with a score in the 28-24 range. Consider that the Over is 7-1 in Seattle’s last eight games playing as an underdog against an opponent that is coming off a game in which it scored 30 or more points. The average game score in the six most recent games fitting that criteria was 51.2 points.
Russell Wilson Total Passing Yards – Under 219.5 (-105)
Wilson did not throw for more than 215 yards in last year’s playoffs, including Seattle’s Super Bowl win over the Broncos, but he has accumulated quite a few passing yards in recent weeks. Wilson has thrown for 219.5 or more yards in three of the Seahawks last four games, but he is facing a tough New England pass defense on Sunday. The Patriots have yielded 191 or fewer pass yards in four of their last six games, including the AFC Championship Game where they allowed only 126 yards through the air against a Colts team that ranked No. 1 in passing offense this season.
Tom Brady Total Passing Yards – Under 260.5 (+100)
Brady crested 260.5 passing yards in three of his previous five Super Bowl appearances, but he is facing a Seahawks defense that has allowed over 261 yards passing just four times all season and three of those came within the first four weeks of play.