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Week 1 NFL Predictions on Rams vs Lions Line

by Scott Burgess on Saturday, September 8th, 2012

The Detroit Lions host the youngest team in the NFL, Sunday Sept 9th, the St.Louis Rams. Not only are the Rams youthful, they feature 17 rookies. The Lions crushed the Rams 44-6, at home, in 2010. Because of the Rams youth and inexperience NFL odds makers have the Lions as -7.5 point home favorites with the over/under set at 45.5 points. Here are my Week 1 NFL Predictions on St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions. We recommend you compare NFL Betting Odds on the Rams vs Lions Line.

St. Louis is optimistic about their season with a youthful squad, but a young team can struggle out of the gate, and they face a stiff test, rookie and veteran alike, against the Detroit Lions to start the season. Ups and downs aside, the new faces are all part of a plan to turn around a team averaging three wins over the last five seasons. Quarterback Sam Bradford is optimistic, despite leading the NFL’s youngest team.

Two rookie receivers figure prominently into the Rams’ plans to turn around an offense that averaged just 12 points per game in 2011. “The two young guys [Brian Quick and Chris Givens] they both bring something different to our offense,” Bradford explained. “Quick’s a bigger, more physical receiver whereas Givens has got a little bit more speed. But I think all those guys are really going to help us and I’m really confident in those guys we’ve got out there right now.

Detroit had to do something after getting torched for a combined 90 points and 928 passing yards during their final two games last season. The changes might not be exactly what many had in mind, but it’s a totally revamped unit entering Sunday’s regular-season opener against St. Louis. Complicated by injuries to safety Louis Delmas (knee) and cornerback Chris Houston (ankle), the Lions will likely start a back line that few would have imagined just weeks ago. Until their regular starters return their secondary might be susceptible.

Lions receiver Calvin Johnson said he wants to demolish the NFL record with 2,000 receiving yards in a season. “It’d be great if I could do that,” Johnson said with a big smile. “Yeah, it’d be fantastic.” Jerry Rice set the NFL record with 1,848 yards in 1995. Last season, Johnson established a career high and led the NFL with 1,681 yards. Rice averaged 15.15 yards per catch with 122 receptions in ’95. Johnson averaged 17.5 yards on 96 receptions last year. If Johnson matches that average this year, he would need 115 catches to break the 2,000-yard mark. If he sticks to his career average of 16 yards, he would need 125 catches.

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Week 1 NFL Predictions & Betting Trends:
Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Lions are 6-0-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Lions are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games in Week 1.

St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions
When: Sunday Sept 9th@1:00 PM ET
Pick: Lions -7.5

Sports-Odds.com recommends you check out our consensus Week 1 NFL Picks before the 2012 NFL Regular season kicks-off.

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