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Week 3 NFL Picks on Buccaneers vs Cowboys Spread

by Scott Burgess on Friday, September 21st, 2012

The Dallas Cowboys look to rebound from their Week 2’s humiliating loss, at Seattle, as they set their sights on hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday Sept 23rd. The Cowboys won their last meeting 31-15, on the road, in Week 15 of last season. Tony Romo is known for putting up huge numbers through the air against the Bucs, but that was the old Buccaneers team. The latest Week 3 NFL Picks have the Cowboys as -7.5 point home favorites against the spread with the game total set at 46.5 points. We recommend you compare NFL Betting Odds on the Buccaneers vs Cowboys Spread.

Tampa Bay (1-1) suffered a 34-41 road loss to the NY Giants in Week 2.The Bucs pulled in three first-half interceptions and got out to an 11-point lead. But, Tampa’s defense broke down and let Eli Manning take over to get the win. QB Josh Freeman completed 15 of 28 passes for 243 yards with two touchdowns, with WR’s Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams adding a touchdown each.

After watching the Bucs defense get riddled for 813 yards and four touchdowns through the air in the first two weeks of the season, Bucs coordinator Bill Sheridan is re-evaluating his pass defense. Does Bucs coach Greg Schiano expect Romo to air it out at Cowboys Stadium on Sunday? “Oh, I would think so,” he said. “They’re a run-pass mix anyway, but they’re not afraid to throw the ball. And until we stop it, why wouldn’t they?”

Tony Romo has two explosive receivers in Dez Bryant and Miles Austin. If the Bucs leave their cornerbacks to open too many times Sunday, they could be sunk.

Dallas (1-1) lost big in Seattle, losing 7-27 last week. QB Tony Romo threw a 22-yard touchdown pass to Miles Austin in the second quarter, but that was the only sustained drive the Cowboys could mount on the Seahawks’ stout defense. Felix Jones fumbled on the opening kickoff, leading to a short field goal, and Chris Jones’ punt was blocked and Jeron Johnson returned it for a touchdown to give Seattle a 10-0 lead in less than 5 minutes.

In his three games against the Bucs, Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo’s passing numbers have needed to be tested for steroids: 11 touchdowns, no interceptions and passer ratings of 148.9, 140.6 and 133.9.

The Bucs must deal with the challenge of containing DeMarcus Ware, who leads the NFL with 93.5 sacks since 2006. “He is one of the best players in this league as far as production and consistency,” said Bucs coach Greg Schiano. “He plays hard all the time, he’s relentless and he’s got incredible pass-rush technique. He lines up at linebacker, at defensive end and he’s covering in space.”

After going 4-1 ATS last week, Sports-Odds.com recommends you check out our consensus Week 3 NFL Picks before the Sunday games kick off.

Week 3 NFL Picks & Betting Trends:
Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 4-0-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Buccaneers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on fieldturf.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys
When: Sunday Sept 23rd@1:00 PM ET
Pick: Bucs +7.5

The Bottom Line: Dallas has the home field advantage, but I think Tampa can and will give them a run for their money and at least cover the spread.

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