Our Upset Watch selections are on a major role role right now, going 5-2 straight up and 5-1-1 against the spread over the last seven weeks. We believe we have unearthed another dog with bite this weekend in the Houston Texans. The latest NFL Point Spreads Week 10 have the 4-4 Cardinals listed as a -2.5 NFL Odds home favorite against the Texans, but look for Houston to get off the schnide against Carson Palmer and company.
Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals (-2.5, Over/Under 41): On paper the Texans look like a complete mess. Houston has lost six straight games, its head coach is sidelined with a what appears to be a very serious health issue, and it is coming off a heart breaking home loss to a division rival. Conversely, Arizona looks like a mediocre to solid club that is slowing building a nice home field advantage. The Cardinals are 4-4 overall and they are 3-1 at home with wins over the Lions, Panthers, and Falcons.
Arizona has lived on visiting teams shooting themselves in the foot, though, as evidenced by it being +4 in turnover margin at home. Houston, with its -11 turnover margin, seems like a prime candidate to gift the Cardinals another home win. That may not be the case, though.
The Texans are +1 in turnover margin since Case Keenum took over under center and their defense is more than capable of shackling Arizona’s sup-par offense. Houston ranks first in the league in yards per game allowed, giving up an average of 273.5 yards per game and it also fields the NFL’s top pass defense (158 pass yards per game allowed, 55.92 opponent completion percentage).
Notable Trends: The Texans are 7-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games as a road dog with a spread between 0 and 3.5 points. The Texans are 3-2 straight up and 5-0 against the spread in their last five games as a road dog with a total between 37 and 41 points.
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NFL Point Spreads Week 10: Provided by CarbonSports.ag
Houston Texans +2.5 (-110), Over 41 (-110), +110 (Moneyline)
Arizona Cardinals -2.5 (-110), Under 41 (-110), -130 (Moneyline)